Thursday, 19 March 2020

SCHOLAR: SOUTH CHINA SEA A CONTENTIOUS ISSUE


Introduction
The South China Sea is an area in south east Asia which has caused contempt within the region.  This area specifically covers the geographic location 12.5° N, 115° E.  There are disputes with regards to territory.  China, Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei and Vietnam all have claims to this area.  Specifically, with relation to the Philippines, there was a dispute against China with relation to the territory surrounding the Spratly Islands which Philippines considers is part of Palawan.  The Chinese have increased military presence within the region.  They have built artificial islands in the hopes to convert them to military bases.  According to the article, The South China Sea and U.S.‐China Rivalry, “Since December 2013, Beijing has embarked on a massive program of land reclamation—a total of more than 2,900 acres have been added to seven of China's eight occupied formations in the Spratly Islands archipelago[1].”  This displays the aggressive nature of China.  And although an international tribunal ruled in 2016 that China does not have any legal basis to the claim of historic rights on the bulk of the South China Sea, they still persist in their development of the contested area. 
Case Study Topic Summary
The Law of the Sea is a conventional law that are upheld via customs.  It is the law that determines how natural resources of the oceans should be handled.  It defines rights and responsibilities of nations with respect to ocean territory.  It specifies that, “each country’s sovereign territorial waters extend to a maximum of 12 nautical miles (22 km) beyond its coast, but foreign vessels are granted the right of innocent passage through this zone[2].”  China militarizing and its usage of the South China Sea directly goes against this convention.  There are many resources in the South China Sea of which include 11 billion barrels of untapped oil and 190 trillion cubic feet of natural gas[3].  Moreover 3.37 trillion dollars passed through this geographical area in 2016[4].  This has resulted in disputes with China who seek to claim the territory for themselves. 
There was a dispute between China and the Philippines on 12 day of July, 2016.  This dispute resulted in the Philippines besting China on their argued use of the Spratley Islands.  The convention specified that China didn’t have a legal claim on the historic use of the area.  China argued that on one of their historical maps a, “nine dash line,” indicated that China had legal use of this area since 1952[5].  The Permanent Court of Arbitration in Hague ruled that China had “no legal basis” for maritime claims.  This caused Philippines to win the case however, the court also clarified that it has no powers of enforcement.  This caused China to deem the case null and void.  Taiwan also agreed with China in the matter.  Malaysia, Brunei and Vietnam also have their own claims subject to this dispute. Therefore, China continues to maintain sovereignty, “over 80 percent of the South China Sea, as defined by a nine-dash line[6]”.
The USA’s government is organized according to its constitution.  This matter is an international issue which means that the president has jurisdiction in this.  Article 2 specifies the presidential power wherein the president shall be the commander in chief of the army and the navy of the USA.  This power is granted provided that the president seek the advice from the senate to make treaties wherein two thirds must concur[7].  
Major Issues
The USA is a major trade partner with the Philippines however, as a result of their lack of support in its matters, the Philippine government has begun to severe ties with the Americans.  So much so that the President of the country has told the USA that military cooperation with the USA are to cease.  This is an indication that perhaps the USA has neglected to see Philippines as a more beneficial partner than that of China.  Export with China is 133 Bn[8] which is one of the countries that purchases the most from the US while Philippines does not even come close.  Therefore, one can safely guess that the USA sees China as a more beneficial partner when it relates to matters pertinent to trade.  Furthermore, the Philippines, does not have the capacity to be able to have the production capacity that China does.  Therefore, most USA goods are produced within regions of China for very cheap labor.  
If we look at trade with ASEAN countries and China, we will see that China is a main trade partner to each and every ASEAN member state.  The Philippines 20 Bn; Malaysia 42.5 Bn; Brunei 649 Mn; and; Vietnam 70.6 Bn[9].  As one can see, each of these member countries that have claims to the South China Sea are trading with China and are very dependent on it for income.  This also means that these countries are competing against each other for China’s money which could very well explain the lack of mobilization when it comes to the South China Sea matter.
Now, in comparison, the USA trade in the South China Sea is much less.  Philippines exports to the USA were at 13 Bn.  Malaysia comes in at 33.1 Bn.  Brunei however is at 261 Mn.  Lastly Vietnam at 46.2 Bn[10].  It then becomes increasingly evident that these ASEAN countries are larger trade partners with China than the USA.  This is as a result of the geographic location of their countries as the South China Sea serves as a major trade route.  This is where China’s sphere of influence can be measured.  Sphere of influence refers to a countries ability to have specific knowledge on a certain subject matter[11].  China’s sphere of influence is very evident here in this region as these countries are major trade partners with her.  It will be difficult for the USA to have any significant impact especially when these countries are major trade partners with China.  
The USA is a major trading partner with China.  They currently export 133 Bn to the country.  Furthermore, they import 136 Bn from China[12].  This means that American companies are very dependent on Chinese goods.  The US economy needs China for cheap labor and affordable commodities.  Therefore, as it pertains to the matter in the South China Sea, it becomes evident that America is for America before being for other nations.  Which evidently makes sense, one should care for themselves before caring for others.  
The USA and the Philippines have a military alliance wherein US bases are permitted in Philippines soil.  This has been called into question by the most recent president of the Philippines.  The military Pact with the USA gives the Philippines, “$200 million in aid, including military assistance and financial grants[13].”  It is evident that this military alliance is weakening because the Duterte referred to the Visiting Forces Agreement as, “that son of a b***h” that he would terminate if the U.S. did not “correct” the revoked diplomatic visa of Senator Bato Dela Rosa.”   This individual is a Philippine National Police who was integral to the brutal anti-drug initiative of the president.  It seems that both countries are having a difference in opinion with matters pertinent to the culture human rights, a fundamental pillar of the new world.  To add insult to injury, the USA’s strategy is not assertive enough to enforce the ruling made by the United Nations court therefore, the integrity of the Visiting Forces Agreement is called into question.  And evidently the USA/ Philippines alliance is deteriorating.  The USA’s stance on the South China Sea is to, “defend freedom of navigation in the South China Sea without challenging the Chinese presence there[14].”  This is most likely a result of the fact of the matter that the USA is also a major trade partner of China.  The USA are perpetually taking a stance that is less aggressive because their interest in trade is higher.  This is an example of realism.  The USA seeks its national interest before the interest of others.  However, Vietnam, Brunei, Malaysia and the Philippines have the law on their side.  Isn’t the interest of the United Nations far greater than the interest of any one country?  The task of the hegemon is to ensure cohesion of the international establishments that govern countries.  Without the adherence to international law, what is the United Nations?  It seems that based on the events surrounding the Spratley Islands and how it has been dealt with by all countries involved, that the consensus is capitalism first and rule of law second.  
Pros and Cons
The fact that countries are opting to support trade before the international institutions is very concerning.  International institutions such as the United Nations are put in place to enforce order.  The integrity of these institutions are only as great as the adherence of countries to it are.  Therefore, countries supporting trade above the decision pertinent to the Sprately Islands reveals that this institution is not as valid as it seems.  Thus, China deciding to not abide could potentially result in a domino effect wherein other countries opt to ignore such institution.  This therefore sets a precedent which can cause others to be disobedient.  As according to the journal article, GETTING SERIOUS ABOUT STRATEGY IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA": WHAT ANALYSIS IS REQUIRED TO COMPEL A NEW U.S. STRATEGY IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA?, China’s disobedience “threaten[s] the rules-based international order and pose political, economic, and potentially military threats to U.S[15].”   
The trade with China is causing countries that have claims to the South China Sea to compete with one another.  As specified, these countries are major trade partners with China.  This causes a question of national interest.  These countries first prioritize their profit above their interest in the South China Sea which is evident what with the lack of alliances pertaining to the subject matter.  
The USA’s stance of defending freedom of navigation without impeding on China’s presence is indicative of the interest of the United States.  As what was stated, realism is being implemented here as China is a major trade partner with the USA.  The USA is a major supporter of capitalism and has defended it against socialism and communism.  The question here is, is Capitalism more important than rule of law.  It seems that America’s stance on the Sprately Islands gives clues as to its priority and the USA’s values.  Based on the action in the South China Sea it is likely that the USA supports Capitalism before rule of law as it failed to back the enforcement of the ruling pertaining to the Spratly Islands.  This then calls into question other concepts such as democracy, and human rights.  Would the USA then still support Capitalism over these?  
As China refuses the ruling made by the United Nations court, it calls into question the validity of such agency.  Through their refusal to adhere they are implicating the pillars of the new world which are as follows; rule of law, globalization and free trade, rules based organization and human rights culture[16].  Specifically, they are violating rule of law.  Through their refusal to adhere to the ruling, they have essentially violated the Law of the Sea of which they are a signatory.  This is not only a violation to the Philippines but also the entire United Nations.  Therefore, the need for a world military or police force is necessary to enforce law to unabating countries[17].
China’s militarized presence in the South China Sea is also concerning.  There are at least seven other countries that have claims to this area.  China controls above 80 percent as mentioned earlier.  These countries should have the agency to band together to combat such aggression.  It is evident that they have not done so because they are major trade partners with China.  This causes implications to the integrity of the countries surrounding the South China Sea.  Without their allied support of each other, they render their own sovereignty in the area null and void themselves.  
There is a question of India.  India is a major country in this region, and it is also the second largest in the world next to China.  India is not a major trade partner with the ASEAN countries it becomes clear that India lacks the specific sphere of influence that China has in this region.  However, these ASEAN nations can reduce trade with China and opt to increase trade with India thereby increasing its sphere of influence.  Since Malaysia and Singapore already have some cultural ties to India, the ASEAN countries could utilize this to their advantage.  
Position
                It is my opinion that the countries that have claims to the South China Sea namely Vietnam, Brunei, Malaysia and the Philippines, use ASEAN to enforce their sovereignty against China.  Using ASEAN as an apparatus for enforcing rule of law in the region could have many benefits to its practical validity.  ASEAN is a coalition and should therefore recognize that they are a force of influence in that area.  Through using this institution they could validate their sphere of influence, which is much needed to support the integrity of their region.  China’s authoritative and aggressive nature to these countries should not be tolerated.  There needs to be a polar force to subdue and restrain their actions.  This is where ASEAN can succeed.
                I also believe that India could become a greater trade partner with these countries as dependence on China’s money would only lead to oppression and domination.  Through Malaysia and Singapore, both of which already have cultural similarities, these countries could band together to increase trade with this country.  
                The United States stance on the subject matter is very typical of self-interest.  However, they need to promote the global institutions that they themselves created.  Their action with pertinence to the Spratley Islands reveals that perhaps these international institutions are not as valid as it seems.  In their decision, which is a difficult one, they decided to balance their national interest with the international institution that rendered the judgement.  This evidently caused a lack of integrity of the specific institution that ruled the judgement which then could cause less cohesion.  This could cause a domino effect.  Is capitalism really more important than the rule of law?  From the perspective of the wealthiest nation on earth, it is, based on what has transpired.  Therefore, a need for a United Nations military is more urgent than it seems as the country that created the United Nations can’t even enforce adherence to conventional law.  Furthermore, the USA government and especially the president as per article 2 of the USA constitution has the ability to act on this matter but have not done so because of trade issues.  Therefore, the power of China has trumped the power of the USA, sad but true.  
Conclusion
            The dispute in the Sprately Islands is a hot topic within the south maritime countries of the  South China Sea.  There are multiple countries that have claims to this area.  China commands more than 80 percent of this geographic location.  Trade is a major issue that coerces countries to act in the manner that they do.  Through the interest group theory of politics, we could see that trade is impacting mobilization in the area.  Therefore, the question of the validity of the Law of the Sea is paramount.  Is capitalism more important than the rule of law?  What then does this say about the validity of such institutions that rendered the judgement in Philippines v. China regarding the Sprately Islands?  It becomes clear that these institutions lack the power to enforce such decisions.  Therefore, what’s the point of such institution?.  

[1] Andrew Scobell, “The South China Sea and U.S.‐China Rivalry,” Political Science Quarterly, Vol 133, Issue 2, 2018, https://doi.org/10.1002/polq.12772
[2] Robin R. Churchill, “Law of the Sea,” Britannica, 2020, https://www.britannica.com/topic/Law-of-the-Sea
[3] Ross Pink, “American Foreign Policy,” Kwantlen Polytechnic University, 2020, Poli 3150
[4] Ross Pink, “American Foreign Policy,” Kwantlen Polytechnic University, 2020, Poli 3150
[5] Hanna Beech, “Just Where Exactly Did China Get the South China Sea Nine-Dash Line From?,” Time, 2016, https://time.com/4412191/nine-dash-line-9-south-china-sea/
[6] Manila Bulletin, “Our claims in the South China Sea,” Manila Bulletin, 2018, https://news.mb.com.ph/2018/04/16/our-claims-in-the-south-china-sea/
[7] Ross Pink, “American Foreign Policy,” Kwantlen Polytechnic University, 2020, Poli 3150
[8] Alexander Simoes , “Specific Country,” Observatory of Economic Complexity, 2020, https://oec.world/en/profile/country
[9] Alexander Simoes , “Specific Country,” Observatory of Economic Complexity, 2020, https://oec.world/en/profile/country
[10] Alexander Simoes , “Specific Country,” Observatory of Economic Complexity, 2020, https://oec.world/en/profile/country
[11] Ross Pink, “American Foreign Policy,” POLI 3150.  Surrey:  Kwantlen Polytechnic University, 2020
[12] Alexander Simoes , “Specific Country,” Observatory of Economic Complexity, 2020, https://oec.world/en/profile/country
[13] James Patterson, “Duterte Orders End to Military Pact With US, Despite Looming China Threat,” International Business Times, 2020, https://www.ibtimes.com/duterte-orders-end-military-pact-us-despite-looming-china-threat-2918257
[14] Leszek Buszynski, “Why is the South China Sea so important to the US?,” Huff Post, 2018, https://www.huffpost.com/entry/why-is-the-south-china-se_b_14255194
[15] Stashwick, Steven, “GETTING SERIOUS ABOUT STRATEGY IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA": WHAT ANALYSIS IS REQUIRED TO COMPEL A NEW U.S. STRATEGY IN THE SOUTH CHINA SEA?,” ProQuest, Vol 71, Issue 4, 2018, https://ezproxy.kpu.ca:2443/login?url=https://search-proquest-com.ezproxy.kpu.ca:2443/docview/2109282629?accountid=35875
[16] Ross Pink, “American Foreign Policy,” POLI 3150.  Surrey:  Kwantlen Polytechnic University, 2020
[17] Brian Mcgarry, “Enforcing an Unenforceable Ruling in the South China Sea,” The Diplomat, 2016, https://thediplomat.com/2016/07/enforcing-an-unenforceable-ruling-in-the-south-china-sea/


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