Wednesday, 27 January 2021

SCHOLAR: TRADE CONFLICT US-SINO

 

China opened its economy when, “Deng Xiaoping was the chief engineer [in] 1978[1].”  He introduced a socialist market economy which allowed a few at first to ascertain wealth.  Through further economic reform they decollectivized agriculture which reversed the wrongs that were implemented during Mao’s reign and they also started to create “Special Economic Areas,” where capitalism was accepted[2].  China began to accept the tenants of a capitalist economy and therefore implemented an, “open door,” policy for foreign business.  China went from, “one of the world’s poorest countries to its second largest economy in just 30 years[3]  as a result of their policies.  Today, they are in a position to potentially overtake the USA.  However, the USA has been very resistive towards this country and have imposed tariffs.  Despite these, China’s technology industry specifically has become the go to for many electronics companies.  Companies such as FOXCONN manufacture phones and other electronics under the advise of foreign companies.  China has a technology share policy which has caused their technology industry to be very competitive.  As mentioned earlier, China has, “Special Economic Areas,” of which include Shenzhen, China’s own Silicone Valley.  Through the technology share programs, foreign companies must partner with domestic Chinese companies if they want to proliferate the Chinese market.  This has caused China’s technology sector to boom.  Such companies that have benifitted from technology share initiatives include Tencent, Brilliance China Automotive Holdings, and China Electronics Technology Group Corp. The technology share policy is a “Forced technology transfer (FTT) [which] means that when a foreign company wants to enter the Chinese market, it has to surrender its technology to Chinese companies through a joint venture agreement[4].”  This policy has allowed China to come close to the technological sophistication of the USA.  The Chinese have been successful in using these trade secrets to their benefit to create their own companies.  Foreign companies that consider proliferating the Chinese markets must weigh the pros and cons of selling product in China as their technology could very well be repackaged and sold as another brand.  Therefore doing business in China has the potential to damage the good will of the brand.  Regardless, companies seem to be satisfied with what they have achieved in China.  Companies such as BMW, Apple, KFC amongst others have had steady profits. 

With China’s growth in technology, the USA has seen its international competitiveness reduced.  Through the Trump administration, the USA has successfully imposed policy which stunts China’s growth and influence around the world.  According to CNBC president Joe Biden has announced that he will not immediately remove the said tariffs[5].  Despite the turmoil in America at this time, it is very refreshing to see that the two administrations at least agree on this foreign policy issue.  Chinas economy grew 2.3% in 2020[6] while Americas experienced the worst quarter in history during the same time period[7].  The specifics of the phase one deal with China include IP Chinese crack down, currency protection, technology transfer and agriculture[8].  Overall, the deal aims to address IP theft, trade imbalance, and currency manipulation.  China is the origin for most counterfeits at 80%.  The phase one trade deal with former president Trump assures that China will also purchase more agricultural goods from the USA.  To look into this more closely, China agreed to have an Action Plan to address IP theft within thirty days of the trade deal being signed.  Furthermore, both parties agreed that technology transfers should occur without interference of either party.  This would mean that if companies want to do business in China, they are well beyond their means to do so without governments intervening on their matter.  China has also agreed to purchase over $200 billion[9] in energy and agriculture goods from America.  This could include such commodities as corn and soy.  And, lastly it “includes provisions to boost Chinese market access to financial services firms.”

The US- Sino economic competition relates to matters of sphere of influence.  These two countries are in a conflict with one another to ascertain the support of the international community.  Sphere of influence can be defined as a certain countries specific line of expertise when compared to other countries.  An example of this is the USA after WWII, who used their sphere of influence to push democracy.  The trade war that is occurring is really rooted in an ideological conflict.  America still doesn’t want Chinese socialist and communist ideology to proliferate the west and nor does China want liberal ideology in Asia.  Therefore, these two nations are ensuring that they maintain their influence via securing their interests in such manifestations as the Trump phase one deal.



[1] Christina Zhou et al, “China’s 40 years of economic reform that opened the country up and turned it into a superpower.” ABC News (2018).  Retrieved from:  https://www.abc.net.au/news/2018-12-01/40-years-of-reform-that-transformed-china-into-a-superpower/10573468

[2] Rainer Zitelmann, “China’s Economic Success Proves the Power of Capitalisim.”  Forbes (2019).  Retrieved from:  https://www.forbes.com/sites/rainerzitelmann/2019/07/08/chinas-economic-success-proves-the-power-of-capitalism/?sh=6fd28fa63b9d

[3] Linda Yueh, “China’s Growth:  A Brief History.” Harvard Business Review (2015).  Retrieved from:  https://hbr.org/2015/12/chinas-growth-a-brief-history

[4] South China Morning Post, “Is the US right to cry foul about forced technology transfer to do business in China – and what is Beijing’s position?” (2019).  Retrieved from:  https://www.scmp.com/news/china/diplomacy/article/2181528/us-right-cry-foul-about-forced-technology-transfer-do-business

[5] Yen Nee Lee et al., “Biden says he won’t immediately remove Trump’s tariffs on China.”  CNBC (2020).  Retrieved from:  https://www.cnbc.com/2020/12/02/biden-tells-nyt-columnist-he-wont-immediately-remove-trumps-tariffs-on-china.html

[6] Laura He.  “China GDP:  Economy grows 2.3% in 2020 as recovery quickens.”  MSN (2021).  Retrieved from:  https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/markets/china-gdp-economy-grows-23-25-in-2020-as-recovery-quickens/ar-BB1cQfOL

[7] Jeff Cox.  “U.S.  GDP booms at 33.1% rate in Q3, better than expected.”  CNBC (2020).  Retrieved from:  https://www.cnbc.com/2020/10/29/us-gdp-report-third-quarter-2020.html

[8] Ross Pink, American Foreign Policy.  POLI 3150.  KPU 2020.

[9] Jacob Pramuk.  “Trump signs ‘phase one’ trade deal with China in push to stop economic conflict.”  CNBC (2020).  Retrieved from:  https://www.cnbc.com/2020/01/15/trump-and-china-sign-phase-one-trade-agreement.html

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