Tuesday, 4 May 2021

SOCIAL: PROPOSED POLICY CHANGES/ CITY CENTERS

 

SUBJECT:  CITY CENTERS

PURPOSE:  This briefing note is a recommendation for changes in policy pertaining to city centers. 

ISSUE:  There is not enough regulation for the management of populations in city centers.

Background

Metro Vancouver is a growing city.  The Metro Vancouver board in early 2021, shared data which revealed that within the next 30 years there will be 3.8 million people living in the area.  With this sprawl comes many issues of which notably are crime rate, pollution and congestion.  Metro Vancouver needs to first look at the crime rate.  Per Paladin Security, a private security company operating in Metro Vancouver, they specify that in 2019 there were 8.46 offenses of violent crime per 1000 people in Vancouver.  There was also property crime in Vancouver was 6.2% in 2018.  For comparison, BC’s property crime rate was 4.77% and Canada’s at 3.34%.   According to the Chicago School city centers can be divided into concentric zones.  The central business district is in the center (The area roughly covering Burrard and West Georgia), followed by a layer of factory zone (Before the Cambie bridge facing the core) which is then preceded by a layer of transitional zone (Chinatown, Downtown East Side and Hogans Alley), than a working class zone (Such streets include Granville, Main Street and Broadway) followed by a residential zone (West End, Kitsalano, part of Main Street, Commercial Drive and Granville) and an outer layer of a commuter zone (Marpole).  The theory states that crime occurs more frequently in the inner city (Central business district) and the transitional zone (Including the factory zone).  For Vancouver, this area is something like the Downtown East Side, the corridor near Hastings and Main Street.  These areas are the least desirable places to live and walk in.  There are many drug pushers and users who continue to conduct illicit activity.  There’s also a lot of homelessness and prostitution that occurs in the area.  There are many break and entries and robberies that also occur.  To add insult to injury there is a high risk of being mugged in these transitional zones especially at night.  The fear of being a victim and the feeling of safety are interrelated.  Vancouver should consider ensuring that fear in the area is high because, it is a factor that allows people to take necessary precautions to avoid victimization.  The incivility in the Downtown East Side needs to be addressed and it is a pressing issue that needs work.  The social decay in this area causes community decline which the causes people to innovate to resort to criminal activity.  By promoting a more walkable transitional zone, Vancouver can ensure that, they are making a safer community in the Downtown East Side. 

Managing sprawl is going to be a major concern as Metro Vancouver cities grow.  Metro Vancouver consist of a federation of 21 cities which means that under the concentric zone theory, Metro Vancouver would have 21 circles one per city all of which follow the above noted criteria.  For the purposes of this briefing note, we will focus on the municipality of Vancouver exclusively.

Pollution is an issue in any downtown core.  Specifically when it pertains to Metro Vancouver, as mentioned it will grow to 3.8 million strong in the next few decades.  Plastics discarded by people is a negative of having more walkable cities however, Vancouver is on track to reduce its plastic usage.  What’s more concerning however is the management of air pollution.  Great progress has already occurred to reduce the air pollution in the city.  According to the Vancouver Sun, in 2019, electric vehicles made up 9% of new vehicle sales in the province.  In fact, electric vehicle sales are the highest per capita in North America.  This is very promising however it doesn’t mean that the province should stop there.

Traffic Congestion is a major issue in large cities such as LA and NY.  This problem could soon come to Vancouver.  Data presented to the Canadian Institute of Traffic Engineers revealed that Dewan Masud Karim found that wider lanes make cities more dangerous.  This is because drivers often tend to speed up.  Now, the municipality of Vancouver over the century has created narrow residential roads in neighborhoods and that’s good.  However, according to ICBC the Lower Mainland experienced a 5 year average of 210,000 car accidents ending 2019.  When it pertains to Vancouver, ICBC reveled that Knight Street, Boundary Road and Grandview Highway, Ironworkers Memorial Bridge, Boundary Road and Kingsway and the Lions Gate Bridge were the most dangerous roads in Vancouver.  Notice that these areas are all past the transitional zone.  Each zone has their own issues that need to be addressed.  By making a CPTED conscious factory zone and transitional zone perhaps it could have residual benefits to the zones that layer it.  The roads mentioned are all wider which validates Karims findings.  However, in the future the city needs these roads as it prevents traffic jams.  Therefore, the city of Vancouver must find other methods to reduce the danger of these roads. 

Not only vehicles pose the risk to congestion but population density also is a factor that Vancouver needs to be concerned with.  Vancouver is the most populated city in British Columbia with an estimated population of 2.26 million. Its population density is at 5,492 people per kilo square meter.  Managing population density should be one of the cities most pressing concerns as higher population density not only affects nature but diseases spread quickly among people who live in close proximity.  Another issue that needs to be prevented as the city grows is overcrowding.  Overcrowding reduces the quality of the living conditions and sanitation.  This then serves as breeding grounds for agents of disease not only for people but for animals and wildlife.

Considerations:

Crime can be handled in the business district, factory zone and the transitional zone by having a thorough knowledge of CPTED- Crime Prevention Through Environmental Design.  There is a lot of evidence that supports a walkable city reduces crime.  This is so because, walkable cities have improved lighting which have positive impacts on burglary, theft, fear and violence.  Walkable cities also have larger volumes of people appreciating the scenery which means that there are many witnesses to any single crime which is a form of target hardening.  The city could also consider increasing CCTV options as these have positive effects on the same issues.  There is already a significant amount of police surveillance in this part of the city however, through positive reinforcement, these personnel can collaborate with the community in reporting crimes.  By encouraging activity support, criminals can be dissuaded from engaging in illicit activity.  There should be more programs that appeal to the ownership of land in the area as it would prompt people to take action. 

Pollution and congestion is a major issue in city centers.  COVID has taught society, that these can both be reduced by implementing restrictions.  Specifically pertaining to Vancouver city, tolls are being proposed for entry into the downtown core area and Broadway.  However, we believe that these tolls won’t be sufficient to reduce both traffic and pollution.  Pollution is a major issue in cities like India and China.  In fact, India’s pollution according to PBS News is caused by cars and vehicles emissions which causes smog that induces illness.  The city declared a public health emergency to cope with the issue.  This is an existential threat that could come to Vancouver city which is why Vancouver should set the agenda to prevent sprawl.  It is a matter of time that Vancouver city will grow to be as large as cities like Los Angeles, a population of 10 million in 2016.  Los Angeles, like India has a traffic problem.  “LA’s congestion levels” are actually amongst the worst in the world according to CNN.  Car ownership in LA is the main source of the problem, they had 7.8 million car registrations in 2016 alone.  As a preventative measure, Vancouver should not only implement tolls, they should form policy to further tax car purchases for residents who live in the core region.  They should also add a core city tax to those vehicles who need to refuel or recharge who purchased gasoline or electricity in the core.  Lastly, they should also begin to designate days in which the general population can enter the noted locations with their cars.  Taxing residents of the core area for new car purchases will allow these residents to consider other methods of transportation.  It will reduce the amount of vehicles in the core area and promote a walkable and clean city.  However, from an equity stand point, it could be viewed as a violation but, the question here is does Vancouver want a city that is more safe, clean and walkable or do they want convenience and risk?  Therefore, policy pertaining to vehicle ownership in core centers needs to be implemented in such a way that it socialize people to admire a Vancouver core area that is free of pollution and is walkable.  Further as a legitimation measure, such policy should act as a prevention method by which growth can be sustainable for both the people, nature and the environment.  According to Jeff Speck a walkable city is needed because it would benefit business in the core area but would also help with signs of humanity which means lively desirable cities that attract people rather than put them in danger.  It is the implementing of these proposed policy that is going to be a challenge which is why experts must keep advocating the concept of the walkable city to help people understand its benefits.   Lastly, nature areas need to be protected as the do ty grows.  British Columbia is partly a rain forest and many species of animals live in these natural habitats.  Putting fare gates in popular tourist sites would reduce the amount of people entering into these areas.  Venice during the COVID lockdowns experienced the returning of nature as human traffic was reduced.  It is important that we protect nature and realize that it is natures biodiversity that will aid us progress as a civilization.  The main stakeholders for this matter are the residents of the core downtown area, the government and those citizens that travel into the core regularly.

Options: 

Option 1:  Tolls at entry points into the core.

Vancouver is already implementing tolls into the Vancouver core area, however they haven’t really isolated the entire core.  We believe that all points of entry into the core should have tolls actually.  This would limit congestion into the area.  It would also promote people to use the bus system.  By isolating the core area with tolls, it is expected that there will be public push back.  However, what’s more important here is the fact that Los Angeles, New York, New Delhi and Beijing have grown in a way which the cities were unsuccessful in managing congestion, ie.  they didn’t implement the right interventions to control congestion and thus these cities are experiencing serious threats to their infrastructure.  These cities are also more polluted and have higher crime rates.  The citizens of Vancouver city must make the decision, a walkable safe city or a city filled with risk and danger?  From a sustainability perspective, this is very appealing as it would act as a way to limit the vehicles but also the overall people per square meter in the area.  This option provides equity to the residents of the core area, as they will have more freedom to enjoy their property a proponent of CPTED.  Therefore, they will be more likely to take action if anything negative happens around the area which thus keeps the activity support in the area high.  Although there are those benefits, those that work in the downtown core and use cars would be naturally upset that their equity is being reduced however, they have other options to get into the core such as but not limited to walking, bike, or bus.  The feasibility of this option is very low as municipal funds would need to be collected to fund the project.  Perhaps isolating the whole downtown core would take some time. 

Option 2:  Tax car purchases for those who live in the core city center.

This option would really upset the residents of the downtown core, however, as mentioned, a walkable city provides a safer city.  The beauty of living in the core area, is that all amenities are in close proximity or bus routes run often which means that a vehicle is not that necessary.  Regardless, there are those that still would like a vehicle ie, for the purposes of travelling outside the core.  In that case, purchases should prompt for the use as well as insurance.  Now the problem here is that who is even going to admit that they will use the care for the Vancouver core?  Law enforcement should therefore be burdened with the task of checking insurance policy to verify that citizens are not evading tax.  From an equity stand point, this option helps the citizens that want a safer and more walkable city.  The feasibility of this option is very high as it would be easy to enforce a tax however, it would require a lot of cooperation from various parties.  From a sustainability stand point, it would dissuade people from purchasing a car. 

Option 3:  Additional tax on gasoline and electricity purchased in the city center used for vehicles.

This is the most feasible option.  Taxing vehicle consumables is very environmentally friendly.  It would encourage car users to not use their cars in the downtown core.  By implementing a tax on gas and electricity purchased in the core for cars, Canada would not only generate income but ensure that the core becomes more walkable and safe.  This option is very sustainable as it would reduce uptake of such energy.

Option 4:  Fare gates for popular parks.

By adding gates that limit people in popular parks, the city can be assured that they will be able to control the people per kilo square meter.  This would increase the quality of living spaces and reduce the taxing of sanitation systems.  It would thus prevent the spread of disease in people and in wildlife.  This option guarantees that Vancouver is promoting sustainable initiatives and making sure that its lands are well maintained.  With fair gates in these areas, more wildlife is expected to return, which is a good thing for the environment.  The equity problem lies with the residents of those who bought property specifically because they were near that area.  These people should be given a pass which would permit them into these parks.  People are concerned about tourists and visitors to these parks near their residences, and confirmation of this is the outrage White Rock residents experience as tourists flocked over to Crescent Beach despite COVID restrictions. 

Option 5:  Mixture of options 1, 2, 3 and 4.

This is the least feasible option.  However, using and adding to the methods specified in this briefing note as a template that can expand to other Metro Vancouver cities would be the best thing that can be done to manage population growth in the next few decades.  As it becomes evident, various cities noted herein have not been successful in managing sprawl and they are suffering as a result.  Thus, Vancouver and Metro Vancouver can start preparations to make their cores more walkable this includes the business district, factory zone and transitional zone in the hopes that it would have residual effects to the other zones.

Option 6:  Status quo.

Vancouver is the safest it has ever been because of law enforcement.  It uses renewable energy to power its buildings and some of the vehicles.  Its population density is pretty safe.  However, is Metro Vancouver prepared to grow?  Because Los Angeles, New York, New Delhi and Beijing all thought they were however, they continue to experience existential problems which limit their development.  Vancouver must look at these places despite how prepared they may be to handle sprawl because it is these places that experienced high booms of population growth and they are in a constant battle everyday to manage the effects of it whether it be managing traffic jams or congestion, improper sanitation such as feces on walkways or even places were disease breeds.

Recommendation:

Option five is recommended.

 

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